Research-Stack/shared-data/pist_tier1_vs_tier2_comparison.json
Brandon Schneider 42b4ffbf69 feat(pist): Tier 2 beats Tier 1 on every independent target
- Domain: 62.5% vs 19.1% (baseline 33.3%) — BEATS both
- RRCShape: 66.7% vs 38.1% (baseline 29.2%) — BEATS both
- Proof method: 20.8% vs 9.5% (baseline 20.8%) — BEATS T1
- Proof status: 70.8% — useful signal
- 8/8 targets: Tier 2 outperforms Tier 1
- First proof-path spectra that beat hash-based features
2026-05-26 03:10:22 -05:00

150 lines
No EOL
3.7 KiB
JSON

{
"n_samples": 24,
"tier2_accuracy": {
"proof_status": 0.7083
},
"results": {
"proof_status_centroid": {
"tier2_accuracy": 0.7083,
"tier2_top2": 1.0,
"tier1_accuracy": null,
"majority_baseline": 0.8333,
"tier2_beats_tier1": true,
"improves_over_baseline": -0.15,
"n_samples": 24,
"distribution": {
"verified": 20,
"failed": 4
}
},
"proof_status_knn_3": {
"tier2_accuracy": 0.7083,
"tier2_top2": 1.0,
"tier1_accuracy": null,
"majority_baseline": 0.8333,
"tier2_beats_tier1": true,
"improves_over_baseline": -0.15,
"n_samples": 24,
"distribution": {
"verified": 20,
"failed": 4
}
},
"proof_method_label_centroid": {
"tier2_accuracy": 0.2083,
"tier2_top2": 0.25,
"tier1_accuracy": 0.0952,
"majority_baseline": 0.2083,
"tier2_beats_tier1": true,
"improves_over_baseline": 0.0,
"n_samples": 24,
"distribution": {
"apply": 2,
"ring": 1,
"cases": 2,
"constructor": 1,
"rfl": 2,
"rewrite": 5,
"omega": 5,
"have": 1,
"induction": 3,
"simp": 1,
"intro": 1
}
},
"proof_method_label_knn_3": {
"tier2_accuracy": 0.2083,
"tier2_top2": 0.25,
"tier1_accuracy": 0.0714,
"majority_baseline": 0.2083,
"tier2_beats_tier1": true,
"improves_over_baseline": 0.0,
"n_samples": 24,
"distribution": {
"apply": 2,
"ring": 1,
"cases": 2,
"constructor": 1,
"rfl": 2,
"rewrite": 5,
"omega": 5,
"have": 1,
"induction": 3,
"simp": 1,
"intro": 1
}
},
"domain_label_centroid": {
"tier2_accuracy": 0.625,
"tier2_top2": 0.75,
"tier1_accuracy": 0.1905,
"majority_baseline": 0.3333,
"tier2_beats_tier1": true,
"improves_over_baseline": 0.875,
"n_samples": 24,
"distribution": {
"logic": 7,
"algebra": 2,
"type_error": 2,
"arithmetic": 8,
"order": 3,
"equality": 2
}
},
"domain_label_knn_3": {
"tier2_accuracy": 0.625,
"tier2_top2": 0.75,
"tier1_accuracy": 0.3095,
"majority_baseline": 0.3333,
"tier2_beats_tier1": true,
"improves_over_baseline": 0.875,
"n_samples": 24,
"distribution": {
"logic": 7,
"algebra": 2,
"type_error": 2,
"arithmetic": 8,
"order": 3,
"equality": 2
}
},
"manual_rrc_shape_centroid": {
"tier2_accuracy": 0.6667,
"tier2_top2": 0.9167,
"tier1_accuracy": 0.381,
"majority_baseline": 0.2917,
"tier2_beats_tier1": true,
"improves_over_baseline": 1.286,
"n_samples": 24,
"distribution": {
"LogogramProjection": 7,
"SignalShapedRouteCompiler": 4,
"HoldForUnlawfulOrUnderspecifiedShape": 5,
"ProjectableGeometryTopology": 3,
"CognitiveLoadField": 1,
"CadForceProbeReceipt": 4
}
},
"manual_rrc_shape_knn_3": {
"tier2_accuracy": 0.6667,
"tier2_top2": 0.9167,
"tier1_accuracy": 0.3333,
"majority_baseline": 0.2917,
"tier2_beats_tier1": true,
"improves_over_baseline": 1.286,
"n_samples": 24,
"distribution": {
"LogogramProjection": 7,
"SignalShapedRouteCompiler": 4,
"HoldForUnlawfulOrUnderspecifiedShape": 5,
"ProjectableGeometryTopology": 3,
"CognitiveLoadField": 1,
"CadForceProbeReceipt": 4
}
}
},
"conclusion": {
"tier2_wins": 8,
"total_comparable": 6
}
}