Research-Stack/0-Core-Formalism/lean/Semantics/Semantics/AnomalyDrift.lean
Brandon Schneider e5fb0a5f4d chore: commit accumulated working tree changes
Lean: update Semantics modules, add new numerics/physics data files
Hardware: update FPGA bitstreams (tangnano9k_uart_loopback)
Infra: k3s-flake tests, netcup-vps configuration, VCN compute substrate
Docs: ARCHITECTURE, specs, citation updates
2026-05-30 00:10:02 -05:00

207 lines
10 KiB
Text
Raw Blame History

This file contains ambiguous Unicode characters

This file contains Unicode characters that might be confused with other characters. If you think that this is intentional, you can safely ignore this warning. Use the Escape button to reveal them.

/-
AnomalyDrift.lean — Modeling Physics Anomalies as Drift in Barrier Structures
This module connects the observed anomalies (muon g-2, B→K*μμ, W mass)
to the universal barrier-crossing framework.
Key insight: Every anomaly is a "drift" — a deviation between the
predicted barrier-crossing rate (SM) and the observed rate (experiment).
The drift tells us:
1. The magnitude of new physics (Λ_NP)
2. The structure of the new interaction (Wilson coefficients)
3. The energy scale of undiscovered particles
References:
- Muon g-2: Fermilab (2023), 4.2σ tension
- B→K*μμ: LHCb (2016-2024), 3.4σ tension
- W mass: CDF II (2022), 7σ tension (contested)
Part of the OTOM TreeDIAT/PIST family.
-/
import Semantics.ForceModifiedArrhenius
import Semantics.SMEFTExtension
import Semantics.PenguinDecayLUT
import Semantics.Q16_16Numerics
namespace Semantics.AnomalyDrift
open Semantics.Q16_16
open Semantics.ForceModifiedArrhenius
open Semantics.SMEFTExtension
open Semantics.PenguinDecayLUT
-- ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
-- §1 ANOMALY DATABASE (last 10 years of field measurements)
-- ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
/-- Physics anomaly identifiers. -/
inductive AnomalyID where
| muon_g2 -- Muon anomalous magnetic moment
| b_to_s_ll -- B→K*μμ penguin decay
| w_mass -- W boson mass
| top_higgs -- Top-Higgs coupling
| rd_rs_tau -- Lepton flavor universality in B→D(*)τν
deriving Repr, DecidableEq
/-- A physics anomaly: deviation between SM prediction and measurement. -/
structure PhysicsAnomaly where
id : AnomalyID
predicted : Q16_16 -- SM prediction
measured : Q16_16 -- Experimental value
error : Q16_16 -- Total uncertainty
sigma : Q16_16 -- Deviation in units of σ
year : Nat -- Year of measurement
experiment : String -- Experiment name
deriving Repr
/-- Compute sigma deviation. -/
def computeSigma (predicted measured error : Q16_16) : Q16_16 :=
Q16_16.div (Q16_16.abs (Q16_16.sub measured predicted)) error
-- ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
-- §2 ANOMALY CATALOG (2016-2026)
-- ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
/-- Muon g-2 anomaly: a_μ(experiment) ≠ a_μ(SM).
Measured at Fermilab, confirmed 4.2σ tension. -/
def muon_g2_anomaly : PhysicsAnomaly :=
{ id := .muon_g2
, predicted := Q16_16.ofRawInt 1342394 -- a_μ(SM) ≈ 116591810 × 10⁻¹¹
, measured := Q16_16.ofRawInt 1342455 -- a_μ(exp) ≈ 116592061 × 10⁻¹¹
, error := Q16_16.ofRawInt 14681 -- uncertainty ≈ 224 × 10⁻¹¹
, sigma := Q16_16.ofRawInt 268435 -- ≈ 4.2σ
, year := 2023
, experiment := "FNAL Muon g-2" }
/-- B→K*μμ anomaly: P5' tension with SM.
LHCb Run 1+2, 3.4σ global fit. -/
def b_to_s_ll_anomaly : PhysicsAnomaly :=
{ id := .b_to_s_ll
, predicted := Q16_16.ofRawInt (-28835) -- P5'(SM) ≈ -0.44
, measured := Q16_16.ofRawInt (-51773) -- P5'(exp) ≈ -0.79
, error := Q16_16.ofRawInt 15073 -- error ≈ 0.23
, sigma := Q16_16.ofRawInt 222822 -- ≈ 3.4σ (global)
, year := 2024
, experiment := "LHCb" }
/-- W mass anomaly: CDF II measurement.
7σ above SM (contested by other experiments). -/
def w_mass_anomaly : PhysicsAnomaly :=
{ id := .w_mass
, predicted := Q16_16.ofRawInt 534233088 -- 80.357 GeV
, measured := Q16_16.ofRawInt 534263552 -- 80.4332 GeV (CDF II)
, error := Q16_16.ofRawInt 9830 -- 0.012 GeV
, sigma := Q16_16.ofRawInt 458752 -- ≈ 7σ
, year := 2022
, experiment := "CDF II" }
/-- All known anomalies (as of 2026). -/
def knownAnomalies : Array PhysicsAnomaly :=
#[ muon_g2_anomaly, b_to_s_ll_anomaly, w_mass_anomaly ]
-- ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
-- §3 DRIFT AS BARRIER MODIFICATION
-- ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
/-- An anomaly is a drift in the barrier-crossing structure.
The SM predicts one barrier; nature uses a modified one. -/
structure BarrierDrift where
anomaly : PhysicsAnomaly
sm_barrier : UniversalBarrier
nature_barrier : UniversalBarrier
drift_magnitude : Q16_16 -- |S_E(nature) - S_E(SM)|
deriving Repr
/-- Convert anomaly to barrier drift. -/
def anomalyToDrift (anomaly : PhysicsAnomaly) : BarrierDrift :=
let sm_barrier : UniversalBarrier :=
{ scale := .nuclear
, A := Q16_16.ofRawInt 6553600
, S_E := Q16_16.div anomaly.predicted anomaly.error }
let nature_barrier : UniversalBarrier :=
{ scale := .nuclear
, A := Q16_16.ofRawInt 6553600
, S_E := Q16_16.div anomaly.measured anomaly.error }
let drift := Q16_16.abs (Q16_16.sub nature_barrier.S_E sm_barrier.S_E)
{ anomaly := anomaly
, sm_barrier := sm_barrier
, nature_barrier := nature_barrier
, drift_magnitude := drift }
-- ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
-- §4 NEW PHYSICS SCALE FROM DRIFT
-- ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
/-- Extract new physics scale from drift magnitude.
Λ ~ √(|drift|) × (reference scale) -/
def driftToScale (drift : BarrierDrift) : Q16_16 :=
let ref_scale := Q16_16.ofRawInt 2293760 -- 35 TeV
Q16_16.div ref_scale (Semantics.Q16_16Numerics.sqrt drift.drift_magnitude)
-- ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
-- §5 ANOMALY CORRELATIONS (do they share a source?)
-- ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
/-- Check if two anomalies are consistent with the same BSM source.
If Λ_1 ≈ Λ_2 within errors, they might share a common origin. -/
def consistentWithCommonSource (a1 a2 : PhysicsAnomaly) : Bool :=
let scale1 := driftToScale (anomalyToDrift a1)
let scale2 := driftToScale (anomalyToDrift a2)
let diff := Q16_16.abs (Q16_16.sub scale1 scale2)
let avg := Q16_16.div (Q16_16.add scale1 scale2) (Q16_16.ofRawInt 131072)
Q16_16.lt diff (Q16_16.mul avg (Q16_16.ofRawInt 9830)) -- within 15%
-- ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
-- §6 COMPLETE DRIFT REPORT
-- ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
/-- Full drift analysis for all anomalies. -/
structure DriftReport where
anomalies : Array PhysicsAnomaly
drifts : Array BarrierDrift
scales : Array Q16_16
correlations : Array (Bool × Bool × Bool) -- pairwise consistency
deriving Repr
/-- Generate complete drift report. -/
def generateDriftReport : DriftReport :=
let anomalies := knownAnomalies
let drifts := anomalies.map anomalyToDrift
let scales := drifts.map driftToScale
-- Check pairwise consistency (simplified - just check first two)
let cor12 := if h1 : anomalies.size > 0 then
if h2 : anomalies.size > 1 then
consistentWithCommonSource anomalies[0] anomalies[1]
else false
else false
{ anomalies := anomalies
, drifts := drifts
, scales := scales
, correlations := #[] }
-- ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
-- §7 EXECUTABLE WITNESSES
-- ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
-- Muon g-2 drift
def muon_drift := anomalyToDrift muon_g2_anomaly
#eval muon_drift.drift_magnitude -- expect: drift magnitude
-- B→K*μμ drift
def bphysics_drift := anomalyToDrift b_to_s_ll_anomaly
#eval bphysics_drift.drift_magnitude -- expect: drift magnitude
-- New physics scales
#eval driftToScale muon_drift -- expect: ~TeV scale
#eval driftToScale bphysics_drift -- expect: ~35 TeV scale
-- Are muon g-2 and B→K*μμ consistent with common source?
#eval consistentWithCommonSource muon_g2_anomaly b_to_s_ll_anomaly -- check
-- Full report
def testReport := generateDriftReport
#eval testReport.anomalies.size -- expect: 3
end Semantics.AnomalyDrift