# TRACEABILITY GRAPH ## Every formula has a pedigree. Trace it back to verified basics. **Rule:** A formula is only as strong as its weakest dependency. If any node in the chain is a SORRY, everything downstream stops. --- ## THE FOUNDATION (given — established mathematics) ``` [F0] √a · √b = √(a·b) GIVEN (field property of ℝ≥₀) [F1] Chentsov's theorem (1972) PARTIAL — see LEAN FORMALIZATION below [F2] S⁷ round metric GIVEN (standard Riemannian geometry) [F3] arccos: [-1,1] → [0,π] GIVEN (standard calculus) ``` Status: **GIVEN** — these are not proven here. They are established results. [F1] has been partially formalized in Lean 4 (invariance leg proven, uniqueness axiomatized with citations to Chentsov 1982). See LEAN FORMALIZATION section below. If any GIVEN is ever falsified, the entire graph collapses. --- ## LEAN FORMALIZATION — ChentsovFinite.lean File: `formal/CoreFormalism/ChentsovFinite.lean` Classical source: N.N. Chentsov, "Statistical Decision Rules and Optimal Inference" (1982) | Formula / Concept | Declaration | Line | Status | |---|---|---|---| | Open probability simplex Δⁿ | `openSimplex` | 60 | ✅ PROVEN | | Fisher metric g_p(u,v) = Σ uᵢvᵢ/pᵢ | `fisherMetric` | 316 | ✅ PROVEN | | Chentsov invariance condition | `IsChentsovInvariant` | 379 | ✅ PROVEN (def) | | Permutation invariance condition | `IsPermutationInvariant` | 385 | ✅ PROVEN (def) | | Fisher metric IS Chentsov-invariant | `fisher_chentsov_invariance` | 407 | ✅ PROVEN (Lean) | | Metric = λ_N·Euclidean at uniform (Schur) | `metric_at_uniform` | 694 | ✅ PROVEN (Lean) | | λ_N/N = C (dimension-independent) | `equal_refinement_const_axiom` | 851 | AXIOM — Chentsov §12.3 | | g_p = C·Fisher at rational p | `fisher_on_rational_axiom` | 884 | AXIOM — Chentsov §12.4 | | Full uniqueness theorem | `chentsov_theorem_axiom` | 926 | AXIOM — Chentsov §12.5 | **Upgrade path for remaining axioms:** - Line 851: build m-way equal-split `SplitEmbedding` chain by induction - Line 884: construct Markov projection kernel mapping uniform_M → rational p - Line 926: add smoothness hypothesis to `RiemannianMetric`; apply rational-density lemma --- ## THE CHAIN (verified in this project) ``` [F0] √a·√b = √(ab) │ ▼ [F1] Chentsov (invariant, not unique) ──→ [V1] g_p(u,v) = Σ uᵢvᵢ/pᵢ │ ▼ [V2] φ(p) = (√p₁,...,√p₈) ∈ S⁷ │ ▼ [F0+F2] ──→ [V3] d_{S⁷}(a,b) = arccos(⟨a,b⟩) │ ▼ [V2+V3] ──→ [V4] ⟨φ(p),φ(q)⟩ = Σ√(pᵢqᵢ) ← 3 AGENTS VERIFIED │ CONSENSUS: 0.97586930 ▼ [V1+V3+V4] ──→ [V5] d_F(p,q) = 2·arccos(Σ√(pᵢqᵢ)) ← 3 AGENTS VERIFIED CONSENSUS: 0.440258 ``` **Legend:** - [F#] = Foundation node (GIVEN, not proven here) - [V#] = Verified node (proven + 3-agent consensus in this project) - Arrow = logical dependency --- ## VERIFIED NODES | Node | Formula | Depends On | Verified By | Consensus Value | Status | |------|---------|-----------|-------------|-----------------|--------| | V1 | g_p(u,v) = Σ uᵢvᵢ/pᵢ | F1 (Chentsov invariant) | Lean: `fisherMetric` (ChentsovFinite.lean:316) + `fisher_chentsov_invariance` (line 407, PROVEN) | N/A | ✅ INVARIANT + LEAN PROVEN | | V2 | φ(p) = (√p₁,...,√p₈) | V1 (metric def) | Direct calc | ‖φ(p)‖₂ = 1.0 | ✅ VERIFIED | | V3 | d_{S⁷}(a,b) = arccos(⟨a,b⟩) | F2 (round metric) | Given theorem | N/A | ✅ GIVEN | | **V4** | **⟨φ(p),φ(q)⟩ = Σ√(pᵢqᵢ)** | **V2 + F0** | **Alpha,Beta,Gamma** | **0.97586930** | **✅ 3-AGENT** | | **V5** | **d_F(p,q) = 2·arccos(Σ√(pᵢqᵢ))** | **V1+V3+V4** | **Alpha,Beta,Gamma** | **0.440258** | **✅ 3-AGENT** | --- ## DOWNSTREAM (pending verification) These formulas depend on V5 being correct. They cannot be verified until V5 is firm, and they each need their own 3-agent verification. ``` [V5] d_F(p,q) = 2·arccos(Σ√(pᵢqᵢ)) │ ├──→ [P1] C(p) = ((p₁+p₂)/2, (p₁+p₂)/2, ..., (p₇+p₈)/2) │ Status: PENDING — needs 3-agent verification │ Test: Apply C to test vector, check output sums to 1 │ ├──→ [P2] C(C(p)) = C(p) (idempotence) │ Status: PENDING — needs 3-agent verification │ Depends on: P1 │ ├──→ [P3] d_F(C(p),C(q)) ≤ d_F(p,q) (contraction) │ Status: PENDING — needs 3-agent verification │ Depends on: P1 + V5 │ ├──→ [P4] I_loss(p) = Σₖ sₖ·KL(p_{2k-1}/sₖ ‖ ½) │ Status: PENDING — needs 3-agent verification │ Depends on: P1 + V5 │ └──→ [P5] Φ-corkscrew: f(n) = (√n·cos(nψ), √n·sin(nψ)) Status: PENDING — needs 3-agent verification Depends on: V5 (for the S⁷ embedding context) ``` **Rule:** P1 through P5 are SORRIES until 3-agent verified. No code for them. --- ## THE TRACEABILITY TEST For any claimed result, ask: **Trace it back. What's the oldest verified node?** **Example — d_F(p,q) = 0.440258:** ``` d_F(p,q) = 0.440258 ← V5: d_F(p,q) = 2·arccos(Σ√(pᵢqᵢ)) ← V4: ⟨φ(p),φ(q)⟩ = Σ√(pᵢqᵢ) = 0.97586930 ← V2: φ(p) = (√p₁,...,√p₈) ← V1: g_p(u,v) = Σ uᵢvᵢ/pᵢ ← F1: Chentsov's theorem (1972) ← F0: √a·√b = √(ab) ← V3: d_{S⁷} = arccos(⟨a,b⟩) ← F2: S⁷ round metric ``` If you doubt 0.440258, trace it. The weakest link is F1 (Chentsov's theorem, given, not proven here) or F0 (field property, given). If you accept those, the number follows inevitably. --- ## WHAT TRACING BUYS US 1. **No hand-waving:** Every formula has a paper trail. 2. **Targeted re-verification:** If a node is questioned, only that node and downstream nodes need re-checking. Upstream verified nodes stand. 3. **Clear SORRY boundaries:** If P3 (contraction) fails, we know P1 and V5 are still solid. The failure is isolated to the contraction claim. 4. **Independent audit:** An outsider can verify any node independently by tracing back to F0-F3. --- ## CURRENT PROJECT STATUS ``` GIVEN: F0, F2, F3 (3 foundation nodes — F1 now PARTIAL) LEAN: F1 (partial) formal/CoreFormalism/ChentsovFinite.lean ├── PROVEN: fisherMetric (line 316), IsChentsovInvariant (line 379) ├── PROVEN: fisher_chentsov_invariance (line 407) ├── PROVEN: metric_at_uniform / Schur (line 694) └── AXIOM: uniqueness chain (lines 851, 884, 926) — Chentsov §12.3-12.5 VERIFIED: V1, V2, V3, V4, V5 (5 verified nodes, 2 with 3-agent consensus) V1 now backed by Lean proof (ChentsovFinite.lean:407) PENDING: P1, P2, P3, P4, P5 (5 formulas awaiting 3-agent verification) SORRY: S1-S10 (10 items from adversarial review awaiting resolution) ``` **Next action:** 3-agent verification of P1 (pair-averaging map C(p)). **Lean next:** close axioms at lines 851/884/926 — equal-split chain + Markov projection kernel.